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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
By the way, I think that when an athlete is in a slump it is very significant. I would not feel very confident in an athelte who has been in a slump for a month.
But with a trainer, I'm not sure how significant a 1 for 16 slump is. A 20% trainer would only win 3 times out of 15 in the long-run. It's not really a big deal if a trainer is 1 for 16. that's only two less wins than he would normally have. He could easily win a few races the next week and be right back on track. With an athlete, there may be a good reason as to why they're in a slump. Their stroke may be a little bit off or whatever. With Albertrani, I doubt he is doing anything different than normal. It's probably just a fluke.
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But he's 1-18 at the biggest meet of the year with Darley horses. A great trainer like Pletcher has his horses (usually) geared up at the top of their game at Saratoga. You could argue that he's going up against tougher competition at Saratoga, but with the amount of talent at his disposal 1-18 just doesn't cut it.