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Originally Posted by Mike
I'll assume decent weather, it won't matter to my grass horse in the 9th anyways. I like alot of horses in the QE II Cup, unfortunately. Nice to see Keeneland is offering 10 cent supers and 50 cent tri's in this and the Perryville
I think Sefroua offers great value at 20-1 ml. Closed wide for 3rd, two lengths back to Criminologist in her U.S. bow, a Grade III. The first half of the year, she led in her races(I like that after scoring on Laragh today on Keeneland's turf)
The last part of this year they seem to be trying to get her to relax. Trainer Graham Motion is 32% 1st time Lasix
20-1 from a Motion 1st time Lasix out of King Mambo/Sophisticat
In the Perryville, I'll tri key I'm So Lucky over Ready's Image, Amazing Results and West Express[/i]. And for balance, a win bet on West Express
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I chased Sefroua in her US debut and was very surprised she was so far back out of it on a slow pace given that she was proven on soft ground in France on the lead.
She offers excellent value today(not the 20-1 ML the oddsmaker must have had a few when he made the line), however she's never run on a firm turf course. In France, Good Soft is not really good at all and the times of those races reflect this. Who knows maybe she can step it up on the trip and firmer going. She moves back to 3 yr old company and perhaps is more acclimated now.
I hate chasing horses but I don't see much value in the horses that came out of the Garden City. I'll take Sefroua if the price is right.
P.S I got Motion at 21% 1st time lasix not 32% according to DRF.