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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Only very special horses run down front runners that have gotten away without getting some help from horse(s) ahead of them. Your mistake here, is that you assume, as is natural, that the only way a frontrunner has an advantage is by running slow fractions. In fact, running very fast, without being challenged at a key point in the race, and then basically crawling home, is equally, if not more effective. In this sense, then, MOVES/race dynamics are superordinate to pace. Think about it.
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I agree with everything you're saying, and despite your assumption, I don't think that a frontrunner can only get a good trip by running slow fractions.
Your mistake here is forgetting what happened in the race. War Pass was pressed through absurdly fast fractions for four furlongs by Inner Light. Then came a fresh challenge from Tale of Ekati, moving early as usual. All the while Court Vision is slowly sucking up in behind the frontrunner.
Even if War Pass hadn't had Inner Light with him, after War Pass ran :22 (around a turn mind you) and :46 on that glib track, Court Vision had absolutely no excuse not to pass him, let alone Tale of Ekati, who had to run a sub-:23 second quarter.