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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
I don't know what to do in this race. Turf claimers (excluding maidens) are the most difficult race to handicap for me.
If I get something >= the morning line, I'm going to bet Monsooned Malabar. He's 1 for 15 lifetime and 0 for 6 on the turf, stretching out (which I don't typically like) and even though he's breaking from the 4 hole, he's almost guaranteed a WIDE trip with Johnny V
HOWEVER
his last race was the most impressive of any horse in the race. He went against race dynamics, was extremely wide throughout, and finished absolutely FULL Of RUN.
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I agree....but here's the problem......it was a 5 1/2 Furlong race that he was cutting back to and had no chance to win ( based on race dynamics ) so of course he put in a major late ( but obviously ineffectual ) run. How could he not? Millenium Jet would have as well. All he really did was run strongly for a furlong.