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Originally Posted by pgardn
Again, you dont have the odds if McCain chose Romney.
Is it possible McCain would take a dive no matter who he chose?
I say hell yes its possible.
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No, in my opinion it's not possible.
Had McCain selected Romney - as expected - I don't think the market and betting lines would have moved a penny.
The markets and lines have been actively trending towards Obama since the morning it was announced McCain took Palin.
What you don't know is why such a move.
Most likely it's just a sustained betting overreaction to an unexpected and seemingly bad choice.
If it keeps moving and moving and moving - at that point you would start to smell a rat.
Palin went to the University of Idaho in the 80's... perhaps there are very compromising pictures of her that were laying around in someone's basement that are on the verge of being made public.
There are rumors that her supposed 5th kid was really her 17-year-old daughters kid. The daughter was taken out of school for several months with mono while Palin announced she was 7 months pregnant despite not showing. She took an 8 hour flight to Alaska after saying her water broke. Maybe there is something to the rumor.
There are reports that someone with the Obama team who does opposition research went through the archives of the Valley Frontiersman, Palin's hometown newspaper, and were the first ones to do so - meaning no one with McCain did. It might be possible they found something very compromising and are holding it.
She is under investigation in Alaska for abuse of power. Perhaps there is more to that story.