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Originally Posted by stonegossard
But going over the pp's, that pace scenario did figure and he was the best closer in the race. Obviosuly a lot of others saw the same thing because his odds were on the low side.
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I think in general those deep, one-run closers are always overbet. People have an affinity for seeing their horse fly down the center of the track, it's exciting. The list of deep, one-run closers throughout history who always went off at odds shorter than they should is long.