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Originally Posted by kgar311
So his opinion is the public will not back a horse in an optional claiming race that has already won a graded stakes, ran in the Kentucky Derby, Blue Grass and just ran a solid 3rd to Pyro and My Pal Charlie.
It just makes me think two things, either this guy wants a nice price on this horse or he knows something is wrong with him. Id feel a little more comfortable with the race if he was 3-1 or 7/2. But like you said ML are usually guides and I rarely go by them either.
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Its interesting how people judge the transition from graded restricted company to unrestricted allowance. It will be interesting in this particular race because i wouldnt be surprised in which ever direction the odds end up.
On top of all that has already been mentioned, this has been an unusually weak class and you have to figure that will be taken into account.