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Originally Posted by King Glorious
I think you may be thinking historically here. We think of races like the Dandy, Haskell, and especially the Travers and we think of the types of horses that win those races. We don't see Harlem Rocker as that type of horse at this point so it makes sense to say he'd need to improve. However, when I look at the current group of 3yo's, once I get past Big Brown, I can't see another horse that stands out in the group that would make me think Harlem Rocker would have to improve to beat them. With this group, any horse that has four legs and a pulse has to be considered and any horse that's won a stakes has to be considered among the favorites and any horse that's been able to win more than one stakes has to be considered the horse to beat in any 3yo race at longer than 8f.
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its really not that simple. although the overall quality may be lower, not every horse that won a stake is necessarily ready for the Travers, nor will they necessarily be considered the horse to beat in any race longer than 8F. I think you have to get a little deeper than that. and go on a case by case basis.