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Originally Posted by justindew
I would say there is a better than 4.7% chance he wins by more than 10 lengths.
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I agree totally. I'm not predicting he'll win by 10 or more, but I don't see how it would be a shocker considering this group he's running against and the fact that it isn't uncommon for the Belmont to be won by a fairly large margin. In fact, I'd say there are only 2 horses that have much of a chance to finish within 10 lengths of him.