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Originally Posted by pick4
I already posted that I like Madam Bling to run a good race. Value Stream, as I was reminded by another poster is the horse to beat. Tagg trained horses have had their pictures taken quite a few times since Belmont Park opened.
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Taking horses trying the turf for the first time at short prices is never a great idea. Plus, Tagg is now being overbet, especially in these situations, so you are taking much the worst of it with this horse.
Look, obviously the horse can win, but making money at the track requires being counterintuitive, particularly in these kinds of situations, and betting on the Value Streams of the world is a losing proposition over the long haul.