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Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
They are somewhat less important than people think. The reason for that is because people pretty much see the same stuff in them, and bet accordingly. Take, for instance, this Comoros horse in the 7th race at HWD on Friday night. What do you see in his 2 previous races? You see him getting beat without an excuse, right?
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You picked the Comoros race as your example? Andy and Dahoss can back me up that this is not a redboard but that horse was the play based on replay work last night. In his last race he is passively ridden by off the pace of South Coast, makes a middle move while wide on the turn, tries to engage and win the race entering the stretch only to tire in the stretch.
now looking at the three trips
South Coast is loose on a quick pace on a Friday night and gets beat anyways, how can he get a better trip - 5/2
Brian the Bull saves all the ground and makes the late suck up non threatening move to finish fast, thats exactly the horse you dont want in an fair run race 3-1
Comoros had the trip I explained, and they switch to Smith a more aggressive rider, and give him a fast work right before the race, 5-1.
That was the trip play of the night, juice had nothing to do with it!