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Originally Posted by philcski
Been trying to figure out what the true odds will be at post, and Battaglia's morning line on the Derby (which is usually decent) is terrible. There isn't any combination which comes even close to the odds he lists; you can expect about 30% higher odds on any runner in the field. For example, if Big Brown is 7/2, the MINIMUM Colonel John and Pyro would have to be is 12-1 for all of the other horses he has at 15-1 and 20-1 to be close to those prices.
Just an FYI so you can better determine what your choice will be at the post.
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Ya I thought everyone seemed too low - but I can see how he had trouble. When I tried to make a line the other day it felt like every horse would be in the 20-1 range.