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Originally Posted by GPK
the field is now +142 as of this morning.
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At +142, the breakeven point for comparing the 2 ways to bet against Artie is when Artie is 0.77 to 1. If Artie is 4-5 or higher, it is better to take the Pinny prop. If Artie is lower than 3-5, it is better to bet against Artie at the track. Between 3-5 and 4-5, it depends on which side of 0.77 you are.
I'm not advocating betting against him, just working on GPK's question. I've now got a spreadsheet that will make analyzing this kind of choice easier in the future.
--Dunbar