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Originally Posted by Scav
In that 4th race, I think there is some sneakyness going on. That 10 doesn't look playable but had a couple decent works, the 6 is a little scary, but the 1 could be a stone cold single given I think they are gunning to the lead from there, and has a real good work two back, plus they are jumping from Mdn Claim to MSW, which I always consider a sign of confidence.
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I may toss the 1 completely. He doesn't have the pedigree for the turf and even if he runs well Garcia will screw it up going down the hill. He might be the lone speed but his post is no picnic. It seems like a very odd spot for Cerin. I don't know if the horse has physical problems or what. Very gappy pattern and it looks like Cerin has tried just about everything with this horse.
The 7 is a must include IMO Unusual Heat, Abrams and Bejarano makes it a no-brainer. No way he goes off at 6-1. I think the 5 will take to the turf well and it looks to me like Solis chose the 5 over the 8. I also think the 6 is very playable and might include depending on how deep I end up going. The 10 may be live too. I will take a look and see if he is getting any action on the board before playing.