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Originally Posted by Kasept
I couldn't care one way or another if he wins the Derby, runs last in the Derby or even makes the Derby.
What I'm 'selling' is a reasonable approach to the ups and downs of horses as their careers unfold as opposed to knee jerk lunacy suggesting a previously undefeated Champion colt is minutes from retirement because he tossed in a non-effort clunker.
And I'm sorry I can't come up with a more recent example than dual Classic winner Afleet Alex who came within 2-3 strides of a Derby win and Triple Crown. My bad...
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He hung late in the Derby.Ran huge in the Preakness.If he didn't have the one bad race at OAKLAWN,maybe he would have finished the Derby,but he got late.All the recent Derby winners have been horses who haven't had a bad race like this in the 2 months before the derby.I hope he runs.He will fry,and insure a nice pace.He pulls anyways.Even in the races against Pyro,he was giving up ground to Pyro in the stretch.He isn't bred for 10f.He doesn't relax enough to get 10f.This horse is for figure geeks.Not for people who can figure out who is gunna get 10f.This wasn't an o.k. 3rd.This is not some minor setback.A bad race like this is not the norm for a derby winner.His best chance would be in a wicked rain storm.Overlooking this race is knee-jerk (if you're talking about trying to win the Derby.)Nice to say it's a minor set back.It isn't.Not saying he can't be a nice stakes horse this year,but horses without March-April hick ups usually win the derby.Just look at it objectively.It's a major hick up.