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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
5 of the 7 fastest Beyer figures run by a 3-year-old male this year have been run at Santa Anita - and 6 of the 8 fastest since Christmas have been run there.
The synthetic surface issue is the reason why many bettors don't trust them.
Pyro has run Beyers of just 90 and 95 this year - the similar styled Giacomo ran Beyers of 98, 93, and 95 in his three Derby preps, all with trips or poor setups, and he was 50/1
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The high Beyers were sprinting...
Pyro's Beyers are misleading because of the way the races set up...
He is better than what they show.
Colonel John and El Gato Malo are much better than their 86 and 85 Beyer last out... Again, pace scenario.
Oh well, I hope everyone tosses these horses with dirt breeding out just because they have been winning on synthetic.
Giacomo won the Derby because he loved Churchill Downs, and Afleet Alex didn't run his race.