[hurricanefrank]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Why would this appear chalky? It's some terrific betting race with only a few crossouts and any of the potential 10-1 types are capable of winning or being involved in the decision... In fact, among ML choices Stream of Gold, Silver Whistle and True Cause, none look particularly overwhelming.

Stream of Gold feels like a horse that has done more in the U.S. than he has, and I'm personally getting tired of expecting the breakthrough performance. That said, he has to be used here.

O'Callahan's Ascertain tailed off badly after a strong year at age 6, and has clearly been working at a private facility for this return. He fired fresh at Remington in October, is 12-1 with potential to get lost on the board and will be forwardly placed in what should be a moderately paced affair. If close to his form in the Elkhorn (12f, KEE, Gr. III) last spring, he looks like the right value player.

1. #9 Stream of Gold 3-1
2. #5 Ascertain 12-1
3. #7 Big Prairie 15-1
4. #1 Silver Whistle 4-1

I agree with your analysis Steve. Assuming O'Callaghan has him ready to fire off the bench I think Ascertain may be the one to gun down mid-stretch.