You obviously took my "they won't" comment to mean every single horse. OF COURSE a few will run better. Most won't.
Let us presume Colonel John wins or runs very well in the Santa Anita Derby. Exactly what price do you think you are going to get for your opinion that he might improve? 6 to 1 in a 20 horse field? Good luck with those kinds of bets long term.
What about Lady Joanne? She didn't run very well on synthetic that I remember, but I could be wrong. She didn't turn out that great on dirt either if memory serves.
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Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
So, you're saying the top West Coast horses aren't going to do anything in the Derby then?
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That is how I will be betting.