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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I understand your reasoning - but I don't agree with it. Anytime you have a 20 horse field of 3yo stretching out - you are going to get a faster pace than you'd figure to get on paper.
I'm sure Asmussen would love to enter a rabbit in the race to throw at War Pass - his problem is finding a sprinter of his with enough Graded Stakes earning to get in and fast enough to carry out the mission.
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Also worth noting that every example you used above had a Beyer at least four points better going into the Derby than Court Vision has ever run. That alone can be the difference between 3rd or 4th and 6th or 7th.