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Originally Posted by miraja2
It was a pretty good dirt debut to be sure. He had an outside post, ran into some traffic on the second turn, and overcame that to put in a pretty nice stretch run. Given that this was his first dirt start, he might be eligible for more improvement down the road, but based on that performance, I certainly do NOT see him as a legitimate Kentucky Derby contender.
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Now, did you repeat " dirt " twice to try and convince us or yourself?
This was
not a
dirt race, nor should it be confused as one, and like every prep run on
synthetic surface, it has little to no bearing on any races the participants run on actual dirt.
Call it a handicapping challenge, but this year's KY Derby will be filled with the new challenge of figuring out how some horses will do in their actual first start on dirt. The unfortunate thing is to think of the excluded horses that may well have impacted the Derbies of the future had they had the proper surface to run on earlier in their careers. But, the good news is that many of the non-dirt horses that are confused as actual dirt horses will be thoroughly exposed in Louisville on an annual basis.
Anybody that disagrees with this should look at the winner of this year's Sunshine Millions Classic. It aint dirt.