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Old 01-21-2008, 05:01 AM
NoChanceToDance's Avatar
NoChanceToDance NoChanceToDance is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
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mmsc, all I have said is that I don't believe that Vengeance Of Rain, Viva Pataca, Bullish Luck, Good Ba Ba would be quite good enough to win a good Group/Grade 1 race here or in America.

Good Ba Ba only just defeated Creachadoir, and although he is pretty good over here, he isn't in the top five-ten milers in Europe (I doubt).

Believe me, they are not overlooked. I'm saying it the way I see it (maybe I'm wrong). I cannot see any of these horses I have listed winning a good standard Group/Grade one race in Britain, Ireland or America. Yet many of them are the very best in HK.

Please don't take this the wrong way. It doesn't mean I'm overlooking them, I doesn't mean I don't rate the horses. You know how much I like Viva and Good Ba Ba, but I'm not letting my heart rule my head. I'm looking at this firmly from a handicapping point of view.

If people in HK firmly believed they could beat the best in Europe, they would be over here. They would be shipping to America, running in the Breeders' Cup every year. The very fact that they're not suggests that they don't believe they are quite capable yet. The important word there is "yet", they certainly will be capable enough.

I promise you, they are not getting overlooked. A few years ago, they probably were. You can see yourself how far they have come in so little time. To my knowledge, three or four years ago, we never even got to see the racing from HK on TV. There was no demand, no one was interested. Now we can see as much of the big racing from HK as we like. People (including me) get up early to watch it.

Europe and America better start getting worried because the horse from HK and Japan are coming to get 'us', but right now, they are still slightly behind.
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