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Originally Posted by Mike
How's the S.A. polytrack playing? Still heavily speed biased or is it all a mystery now after the rains?
I'm going with a gut play in Air Commander in the San Fernando.
Indian Sun in the Rafael
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Of the 3yos that ran in SoCal last winter, Tiago seems to be the only genuine stakes horse. Look at Law Breaker, who was second in the 7f San Vicente S by a neck and beat Level Red in his n1x: last out he won at 2 turns for $50K and was stuffed at 6.5f in the second today, for the same price and as the favorite.
Air Commander's best showing was a second to that world-beater Cobalt Blue, where he finished about as far in front of Level Red as Law Maker did. Somebody had to win those graded races (of which there are far too many for the way trainers have campaigned horses lately), but all that connected form is quite moderate.