[westcoastinvader]

I watched the "head ons" real time at the OTB, so I haven't studied. My real time view was that Fog was running exactly where Russell Baze wanted him to in the stretch.

Thanks for those who pointed out Kelly's Landing, and even thanks to those who pointed out Prado. LITF went off at .50, and my plan going in was to only go with him to win at .80 or more.

When I saw the 5-7 and 5-6 exactas had respectable prospective payouts, I took about a quarter of what I had planned to possibly play on Fog to win, and bought two straight exactas.

I sure was pulling for Prado! The 5-6 exacta would have paid about $28.

But, the Kelly's Landing chalk exacta at $9.20 gave me a bigger winning margin that I would have had with the original amount planned for Fog.

I'll also note that I think Russell benefited with his ride of Victorina in the prior race at Churchill. I didn't like his choices with her, but I think he learned a bit about where he wanted Fog on the track in the 10th.