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Originally Posted by NTamm1215
Bigs,
I am very skeptical of Dubai Gold in the 7th. I completely agree that Dini and Velez have been a solid team but this guy got an absolutely perfect trip in that 12/21 race. The second place finisher, Fire Striker, was beaten handily in a N2X on Saturday and now Dubai Gold is coming in with no works after working like a maniac prior to the 12/21 event. I'm glad you're helping him.
One that I'm going throw into the mix is #2 ALL I CAN GET who seemed to get kind of a 'boat' setup last time. Bennett is HUGE 2OTL and they may have been thinking turf route with this one when they put him in the dirt sprint. Speed hasn't been spectacular on the Tampa sod but this guy may be able to get clear after dispatching the hopeless Timber Time.
Like you said, very tough sequence and someone's going to get paid. I noticed the Garner Vinson firster in the nightcap and remembered the bomb on 12/29 that earned him that gaudy ROI. In a group this soft I'd feel dumb if he won at a nice price and blew up my ticket. I'm definitely going to use #3DIXIE QUEEN who tired after making a pretty solid pace on a track that seriously favored late runners (0 horses wired, 0 were 1st or 2nd at the pace call and only four winners from eight dirt races were in the 1st half of the field at the pace call).
Good luck tomorrow!
NT
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NT,
Bennett is great with 2nd off, BUT not with turfers. Look at his Dirt/Turf and Turf percentages and that 2nd off number doesn't look so great. Three awkward starts in his last five races for a horse that stays close to the pace and I'm not sold.
As far as Dubai Gold, that was a strangely run race. He isn't normally that far back, I look for him to be much closer to the pace tomorrow. I'm not terribly concerned over the lack of works since his last (a little birdie told me he is doing very well since his last race). He's quite a versitile horse that likes to win.
It's a wide open race and I will be interested to see where the money lands.
GL