And I doubt he will be value....or is even worth mentioning.
Value means his odds are higher than his actual chances of winning. What price do you think he will be and what do you think are his actual chances of winning?
Look, I understand wanting to make him, especially before the scratches. However, considering the Dutrow horse will get a similar set-up, and is dramatically faster ( no to mention he was against the grain last time ), it is hard to like Alexandros. The problem with him is that he has run reasonably similar races in every start and none are even remotely close to the top three contenders. Now, he may be more likely to want distance and two turns than those three, but it is hard to believe that is enough to close the gap on all three.
Now, if I really want to be technical, I would point out that this is a Pick-6 analysis thread. Pick-6s are about finding the way to spend your money in the best manner to survive each race. It is not the place to be overly concerned with " value " selections.....if particularly concerned at all.
|