[Kasept]

No cause for giving thanks Friday as I get widely crushed across the board. Huge day of racing Saturday and carryovers aplenty with AQU ($119k) and HOL ($144k) the lures and Churchill ($25k) even getting into the P6 act on a day where the 2yo card is fabulous. Laurel P4 includes the DeFrancis, Futurity and Selima.


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Lyke a Hurricane 6-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Front Money 12-1 DNF
Next Best: #1 Raffie's Deer 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Smart Thinker 12-1 4th


5th: 63rd Discovery H. (Gr. III), 3yo, 9f (P3, G/S)

Most Likely: #2 Buffalo Man 7-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Shopton Lane 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Now a Victor 2-1 WON


6th: 86th Demoiselle (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 9f (P4, DD)

Very difficult edition of this important 2yo filly stake; Spreading wide in multis looks like a necessity..

Most Likely: #3 Mushka 5-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Melissa Jo 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Be Fruitful 6-1 7th


7th: 94th Remsen (Gr. II), 2yo, 9f (P3)

Most Likely: #1 Court Vision 8-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Springs Road 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Atoned 7-2 2nd


8th: 19th Cigar Mile (Gr. I), 3+, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Midnight Lute 3-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Sir Greeley 15-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Daaher 3-1 WON


9th: NYB-ALW, 3+, 1m-T (Super)

Most Likely: #5 MUNITION 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Dr. D.F.C. 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Premier Perfection 3-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Burn One Turn One 15-1 9th


P6 Play:

Main (Backups)

4: 2-11 (1-6)
5: 2-7 (1-3-5)
6: 1-3 (2-4-5-7)
7: 1-2-6 (3)
8: 2 (3-5)
9: 5 (2-7-9)


P4 Play:

6: 1-3-4-5-7
7: 1-2-6
8: 2-3-5
9: 5

5x3x3x1 = $45



LAUREL


7th: The Selima, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P4, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Wind in My Wings 6-1 6th
Best Value: #11 Fareena 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 SCR
Super Add: #6 Bsharpsonata 8-1 WON


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, Super)

Fabulous betting race with 5-2 ML Hot Sunrise a highly vulnerable fave..

Most Likely: #5 Emishi Warrior 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Beck and Call 10-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Apache Road 2-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Joel's Touch 12-1 3rd


9th: Laurel Futurity, 2yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

One of my favorite races of the year and always a bellweather for quality.. Top choices from Motion, Pletcher are parked outside opening this up to trip speculation.. No need to accept short tote on key players..

Most Likely: #10 SCR
Best Value: #3 Loveyouintheworld 15-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Adriano 3-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Bearactor 8-1 4th


10th: DeFrancis Memorial Dash (Gr. I), 3+, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Talent Search 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Saint Anddan 8-1
Next Best: #1a (POE) Benny the Bull 9-5 WON


P4 Play:

Main (Backups)

7: 5-11 (4/SCR-6)
8: 5-10 (3-9)
9: 3-6-12 (2-13)
10: 1-2 (5)



CHURCHILL

Rolling DD's R1-R11; Rolling P3's R1-R10; P4's R1-R5-R9; P6 R7; Supers in all..

1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f

Most Likely: #4 Acacia 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Highest Class 9-2 WON
Next Best: #7 Coy Cat 3-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Temper Temper 8-1 2nd


2nd: ALW/N2X, 2yo, 6f

Most Likely: #1 E Z Phone Home 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Whysoblue 10-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Georgetown 3-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Devereux 5-2 3rd


3rd: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 6f

Most Likely: #2 Syriana's Song 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Rumari 6-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Anachini 5-2 4th
Super Add: #8 American Country 7-2 WON


4th: MSW, 2yo, 7f

Most Likely: #11 Spine Tingling 5-1 9th
Best Value: #9 Ballynoe 6-1 WON
Next Best: #8 Elusive Sparkle 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Sweet Redeemer 15-1 4th


P4 Play:

1: 1-4
2: 1-7
3: 2-8-9
4: 4-8-9-11

2x2x3x4 = $48


5th: 4th Caressing H., 2yo-F, 1m-T

Most Likely: #1e Oliver entry 5-2 2nd/4th
Best Value: #5 Little Stinger 15-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Mine Or Who's 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Vancy Pants 15-1 8th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f

Most Likely: #2 Truth Rules 4-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Denis of Cork 12-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Stungbythestorm 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Calzone 5-1 7th

$1 Exacta $46.70


7th: ALW/N1X, 2yo-F, 1m

Most Likely: #10 Latest Scoop 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Miss Isella 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 High Surf 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Girl From Seattle 8-1 8th


8th: 4th Grand Canyon, 2yo, 8.5f-T

Most Likely: #9 Old Man Buck 2-1 WON
Best Value: #3 SCR
Next Best: #10 Cherokee Triangle 7-2 8th
Super Add: #5 Caberneigh 10-1 4th


P4 Play:

5: 1
6: 2-5-6-7-8-10
7: 3-10
8: 3/SCR-5-9-10

1x6x2x3 = $36


9th: 84th Golden Rod (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 8.5f

Most Likely: #3 Turn Away 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Pure Clan 3-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Sunday Holiday 3-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Morakami 10-1 5th


10th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 1m

Most Likely: #4 Jedi Code 7-2 5th
Best Value: #10 Web Gem 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Macho Again 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #12 Monba 6-1 WON


11th: Kentucky Jockey Club (Gr. II), 2yo, 8.5f

Most Likely: #3 Halo Najib 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Anak Nakal 6-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Racecar Rhapsody 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 Cool Coal Man 5-2 7th


12th: MSW, 2yo, 9f

Most Likely: #12 King's Silver Son 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Spot Gold 20-1 12th
Next Best: #6 Tizzy 9-2 8th
Super Add: #11 SCR


P4 Play:

9: 1-3
10: 4-6-10
11: 1-3-5-6
12: 4-12

2x3x4x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve