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Originally Posted by philcski
"Dunce cap" horse for me in the sequence is R5 #1, Ever a Friend. Horse will take a lot of money and will be a serious underlay. Note the one win since mid-'06 was over Southern Prince, who would be 20-1 against this group. If I use any other horse besides Silver Stetson Man in the P6 it'll be Bushwacker, who could find himself loose on the lead and the turnback in distance should help.
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Silver Stetson Man looks to be the real deal. The place horse in his last two races immediately came back and won at the same level with Beyers of 98 (Mi Rey) and 99 (Johnny Eves). Third off the layoff, he's my single.