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Old 10-26-2007, 10:16 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I may call a few audibles based on weather - or the any track bias that might pop up. As it stands now though....

F & M Sprint - I loved Miss Macy Sue in this race right after her highly impressive win here in September - and I will be betting her. However, she's sort of become a wiseguy special and people like Beyer and Crist pick her on top. She certainly won't be the kind of price I thought I'd get on her a few weeks ago. I will use Baroness Thatcher and the chalks with her.

Juv Turf - who knows.

Dirt Mile - Xchanger 1st Park Ave Ball 2nd Lewis Micheal 3rd

Juv Fillies - I like Izarra to win a collapse over Indian Blessing. Grace Anatomy, Proud Spell, and maybe even Smarty Deb are the others for exotic purposes.

Juv - I like Tale of Ekati - like Miss Macy Sue...another who seemed so much less fashionable two weeks ago when he was 11/1 in Euro future books. Hard to be as excited about him now.

F & M Turf - I despise Nashoba's Key in this spot. I think the winner will be a Euro - and certainly Passage of Time and Simply Perfect are the two Euro's I prefer.

Sprint - I'm taking the short price on Midnight Lute - looking to get Idiot Proof and or Benny The Bull behind him.

Mile - I will be spreading VERY deep in this race in multi-win exotics. I have to assume Excellent Art is clearly the best horse...but I'm not so sure his style will suit this kind of race.

Distaff - Hystericalady is going to be a great bet. It would be nice if I can get two or three of the following group UB, Balance, LJ, and LP to round out the tri and super.

Turf - Dylan Thomas is obviously the most likely winner - but is also going to be overbet. I just am not crazy about anything else in the race. Saturday's worst betting race.

Classic - Part wheel tri with LR, HS, and Curlin over LR, HS, and Curlin with only SS and AGS in the 3rd spot in Tri's and 3rd and 4th spot in supers.
fixed odds currently available at TheGreek.com:

Miss Macy Sue 7-1
Izarra 6.85-1
Midnight Lute 2.65-1
Excellent Art 3.65-1
Histerical Lady 8.25-1
Dylan Thomas 1.15-1
Lawyer Ron 3.85-1
Hard Spun 8.25-1

btw, DrugS, I very much liked your Classic analysis in another thread. And of course both LR and HS move up substantially if the going is wet.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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