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Originally Posted by Kasept
I sense that it's because of the requirements for success in a one turn mile versus the (generally run at) two-turn mile and a sixteenth.. Utterly different and on a short turnaround between the events, the horses coming out of successful Champagne-Frizettes have gone too fast early and been punchless late in BC Juvies.
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I'm not endorsing War Pass for the BC Juvenile, though obviously at this time he is as strong as anyone, but I think it is fair to say that he could well be at a stronger tactical advantage in the Juvie at Monmouth than he was at Belmont. It is easier to bottom a field out going two turns there than it is at Belmont.
I am loathe to bet one way speed horses, and the fact that War Pass has not shown an ability to rate as of now is certainly a cause for pause, but tactically he may well be stronger next time. Or not.