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Originally Posted by SentToStud
Well, breaking from the inside Fab Strike gets his shot at proving you correct about being a substantial race horse.
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To me, the fact that Fabulous Strike hasn't beat "Grade 1 type horses" means nothing at all.
Fact is, if he had the same dream trip as he did in those monsterous figure wins at Chuchill Downs and Mountaineer Park - he'd have decimated any top horse.
An off-the-pace type like Midnight Lute - who was SENSATIONAL winning the Forego wouldn't have had a prayer against him going six furlongs with an uncontested lead through soft fractions.
To me, the big knock on Fabulous Strike is about trips.
* He has yet to show the ability to battle through true fast fractions, take pace pressure, and run his big race.
* And I'm skeptical about how well he'd run if he's rated off of a fast pace and tries a change of tactics.
If you took all the great closing sprinters in the last fifteen years - and ran them against Fabulous Strike going six furlongs - FS would win, and probably stylishly, because he'd get no early pressure at all, and he's repeatedly shown the ability to run supersonic late fractions (often while under a full nelson) when he has things all his way through the early stages.