Quote:
|
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
He's had five such performances already - I guess three would be minus the "against top horses part" - and I steadfastly believe the "beating top horses" stuff is wildly overrated.
It would be one thing if he had soft trips in those wins - but except for the Jerome, he didn't. They were authentic wins.
On countless occasions, I've seen very moderate horses of little ability beat top class fields because they out-tripped them.
I remember 12 years ago watching Wild Syn, who was less horse than a lot of claiming animals, easily beat Thunder Gulch and Tejano Run in the Blue Grass Stakes. TG and TR came back three weeks later to run 1st and 2nd in the Kentucky Derby - Wild Syn reverted back to his hideous form without the bias and setup he had in the Blue Grass. That was a race that I took a lot from when I first started betting.
|
Well, breaking from the inside Fab Strike gets his shot at proving you correct about being a substantial race horse.
If he has any class at all, he'll be close at the end.
With no scratches, I make him 15-1 to win the race.
I also make it even money he finishes out of the top three.