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Old 09-20-2007, 10:43 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
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Octave's just a horse. But she's held solid form for over a year and proved it on many different tracks. Moon Catcher ran good races at Delaware, hardly an indication of genuine ability, and Talkin About Love has beaten lessers with perfect setups. The others are in a different time zone.

You say Octave lost to Dreaming of Anna....yes when she was second to her in the BC and Dreaming of Anna rode a strong bias, and slow pace, to victory. She lost to an in form Mistical Plan off a four month layoff. And, her second to Christmas Kid was on polytrack, while Christmas Kid had form, and Octave had a tougher trip than the winner. I'm not defending her.....I'm just discussing her realistically. She beat Lady Joanne at 1 1/8, but lost to her at 1 1/4, yet you think 1 1/16th is not the right distance for her? You seem to be splitting hairs.

Trust me, I'm not rooting for Octave, but she's absolutely the deserving favorite and the horse to beat. On paper Moon Catcher is not only worse but also at no tactical advantage.
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