Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
Ok then how about this. Shakespeare was in a full drive to beat Kip Deville by a length. Back in March, Kip Deville beat what I thought was a tougher field than the Woodbine field when he won the Kilroe at Santa Anita (Silent Name, Milk it Mick, After Market, Three Valleys) by a neck. The fourth place finisher in that race was Porto Santo. That day, Porto Santo was beaten by 1 1/4 lengths by Kip Deville. When Crossing the Line won the race at Del Mar, he beat Porto Santo by 2 1/4 lengths. So since Kip is 1 1/4 lengths better than Porto Santo and CTL is 2 1/4 lengths better, according to your logic, that makes CTL a length better than Kip.....the same distance that Shakespear beat him by. So then CTL and Shakespeare are equal.......if u are going to judge them by how much they beat comparative horses by.
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Be careful with that Porto Santo analogy. He had absolutely no place to run in the Del Mar Mile and the decision with CTL would have probably been much, much closer had Nakatani not been completely stymied for over a furlong.
Also, just my opinion, the way you broke down your analysis is nice, but comparing finishing positions in races that were five months apart is a very dangerous idea. I think you missed Andy's point, which was that level of competition has to be taken into consideration, but I missed where he said that margin of victory is the deciding factor.
NT