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Originally Posted by pgardn
If Street Sense goes off at 3/5 my bet is definitely in.
Its just a matter if I want to drive all the way to the track to bet and then it falls to 1/5.
I think Ajim has an interesting way of viewing this horse but I also agree 10f is just too long to beat this horse with these even on a bad day. 70 to 80% chance Street Sense wins.
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when he owns the rail on the second turn and has a solid pace to run into, he is real tough, (Juvenile, derby, preakness) i don't think he gets either today.
when he is denied the rail, or the pace is moderate to slow, or both, he ends up in a fight that he can still win but not a sure thing at low odds. (Tampa Bay, Bluegrass, Jim Dandy)
of course Street Sense will be no surprise today no matter how they run it, but I'm picking Grasshopper despite adding 9 pounds, another furlong, and a big class hike.
