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Originally Posted by bogeydaman
I still keep leaning on Street Sense being a Churchill Downs lover / horse for course. In his last 6 races he has had 2 blow out wins at CD and in the 4 races at other tracks (you can even go back to races before his Juvenile victory at Kee / AP) he has been in "dogfights" and he even lost 2 of those 4 "dogfights" to horses he toyed with at CD (much of this can also be made of the pace scenario noted above). He may win, but if I am going to take between 1 to 5 and 1-2 I want a horse that is clearly 5 lenghts better than the remainder of the field. At CD I would agree. I am not as inclined at any other track. I would lean towards Grasshopper or Sightseeing if SS goes off too low.
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you may be right about the churchill angle, although i think there is a little more to it. i'm working up some detailed thoughts on how i see this race breaking down and will post it later. bottom line is i agree with you that if Street sense wins this this race it will be another hard fought one length win.