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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I don't agree.
Lawyer Ron....who would be the clear-cut consensus favorite for the BC Classic among the older males...he was being pointed to the BC Dirt Mile as lately as less than one month ago.
Even before he went to post as the favorite for the Met Mile, his goal was the BC Dirt Mile. I'm sure his Whitney performance changes that.
I think you'd be surprised at how many trainers would rather be 3rd or 4th choice in the Dirt Mile betting, than 8th or 9th choice (at massive odds) in the Classic betting.
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They were thinking Dirt Mile since they thought there was no chance of him getting 10 furlongs. Now that he ran so well at nine they will take the shot in the Classic even though they know he'd have a better chance of winning the Dirt Mile. Had he not run well at nine and there was no BC Dirt Mile then he would have probably skipped the BC altogether to run in the Cigar Mile. The past two years there have been graded stakes on the undercard at a mile or a mile and a sixteenth. I don't expect the BC Dirt Mile field to take the Classic horses this year any more than those races did. Like I said, if it becomes a G1 someday then it does become huge competition for the Classic and will cannibalize it but I don't think anyone will be treating it like a G1 option this year.