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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
You are right...you most certainly can.
See Black Tie Affair and his 122 Beyer figure.
I'm just about convinced this year's pace will be as soft as any Classic I've seen in my lifetime. The advent of the BC Dirt Mile can be thanked for that.
The main contenders won't....that is for sure. Any Given Saturday isn't fast enough to press him...and Garret Gomez isn't that style of rider.
JRV will back Lawyer Ron, that I have no doubt of.
Street Sense and Curlin obviously won't be dueling with any front-runners.
A horse like Wanderin Boy, who would normally run in the Classic, would opt for the Dirt Mile and 70 yards. Same with a horse like Fairbanks.
The thing I'd love most about Hard Spun's chances, is the precieved notion that he doesn't want to stay 10 furlongs. Because of that, whoever is sitting 2nd is much more likely to try and settle his horse in hand.
If anyone remembers back to Ghostzapper, the idiotic questions about his (in)ability to see out the 10 furlong distance was the reason he was allowed an unpressured lead.
GZ and Roses In May sailed 1-2 at every call all around the track.
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While he doesn't stop running, per se, and we've seen him run a mile and a quarter rather fast and well in the set up you are decribing in the Derby, it doesn't explain why he has no immediate response to another horse when he comes up along side and goes by. It is hard to believe he will be "unchallenged" the entire race in the Classic.
As it pertains to Ghostzapper, there isn't a person alive who thought this horse could run his opening 6f in 1:11, that was why they didn't go with him. In the Woodward Ghostzapper and Sait Liam went 1/2 mile in 45:3 and 6f in 1:08:3.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CyQvN...d%2F1911520517
How do they notate a "zop" in the form?