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Originally Posted by ArlJim78
but you are assuming that you can win the classic based on merely on favorable pace circumstances.
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You are right...you most certainly can.
See Black Tie Affair and his 122 Beyer figure.
I'm just about convinced this year's pace will be as soft as any Classic I've seen in my lifetime. The advent of the BC Dirt Mile can be thanked for that.
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Originally Posted by ArlJim78
don't you think this his classic competitors will have a say in this and will not sit idly by while HS steals the race.
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The main contenders won't....that is for sure. Any Given Saturday isn't fast enough to press him...and Garret Gomez isn't that style of rider.
JRV will back Lawyer Ron, that I have no doubt of.
Street Sense and Curlin obviously won't be dueling with any front-runners.
A horse like Wanderin Boy, who would normally run in the Classic, would opt for the Dirt Mile and 70 yards. Same with a horse like Fairbanks.
The thing I'd love most about Hard Spun's chances, is the precieved notion that he doesn't want to stay 10 furlongs. Because of that, whoever is sitting 2nd is much more likely to try and settle his horse in hand.
If anyone remembers back to Ghostzapper, the idiotic questions about his (in)ability to see out the 10 furlong distance was the reason he was allowed an unpressured lead.
GZ and Roses In May sailed 1-2 at every call all around the track.