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Originally Posted by ArlJim78
through 8/4
Saratoga dirt;
fav win%, fav itm%, ave win payout, %wire sprints, %wire routes
26%, 61%, $6.38, 17%, 25%
DelMar poly;
33%, 66%, $6.39, 30%, 5%
So far we've heard that at Del Mar because of the polytrack it's totally random, you can't make any sense of the outcomes. Like its some topsy turvy world where you can't apply any rules that handicappers normally would use. Well it would seem that somebody is clued in because so far looking at favorites it is more predictable than Saratoga.
Notice also that the statements that people make about speed not holding up well only applies to routes. at sprint distances speed is doing much better than at Saratoga.
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It's obvious that the further the race is---the worse speed does on all artifical surfaces so far, polytrack especially.
I certainly don't believe the races are more random because of the surface, I'm not sure many do.
However, the overwhelming majority of major horse races are run beyond the distance of a mile --- and it's those races that are complete eyesores to watch run over polytrack.
That is my only beef with the surface...and as someone who loves top class horse racing, it's a huge beef.
I have many beefs with the way people are going about trying to defend and justify the surface in such a dishonest and naive way....but I agree with you on your point, I don't believe it makes the outcome of the races random.