This is an ultra-competitive card, if you can catch one longshot (or a couple), bet properly and there is money to be made.
Race 1: #9 Half a Note is the fastest coming in.. Luzzi, Jacobson and outside post don't help, however. Both Contessa horses are fast enough to win, entry may be the play.
Race 2: The 2 that have run, #8 Mythical Pegasus, and #4 Anakim, both ran fast first out. A firster will have to be good to beat them.
Race 3: Agree with Steve, have to let Tuefelsberg beat you on the turf.. Frankel's Owners Manuel is similar to Tberg, fast dirt, 1st turf? Problem is, the rest of the horses are virtually the same speed fig wise, #6 Biggerbadderbetter has solid pattern, nice ML.. #9 Vaunt should improve 2nd start for Mott, #3 Mysterious Pientre is making first start for Pletcher.. probably a reach, but #7 Mission Approved is classic 0-2-X pattern, the price will certainly be right.
Race 4: Another wide open race, #4 Shone is the fastest coming in, should run well...#9 Steve's Double is improving every start, and Chuck's former horse, #10 Silver Source should also run well.
Race 5: No stand-outs in here, agree with Steve on first timer #8 Fra Lippo, if he can run at all, should beat these... favorite #9 Lhotse Quality makes sense, but seems to find a way to lose... possible longshot to hit board: #5 Autumn of my Years, 1st start was OK, last was a complete toss.
Race 6: Totally agree with Steve's 4 in here, led by #7 Texas Elegance.
Race 7: Very competitive race, #4 Firemist has improved every start, very solid, 15-1 ML..#7 Arabian Prince, very fast in Dubai, 1st US start for MCL.. longshot throw-in underneath, #12 Aaron's Classic, 3rd start off layoff, if some of the bigger names don't run, he can be closing at the wire.
Race 8: Agree with 3 of Steve's top 4, #4 Oedipus O'Neal, #2 League of Nations, and #12 Warmonger.. I don't see much to like about Chestertown Slew..
Race 9: I do think Dream Rush is vulnerable today, I'm surprised Steve left out Anthony Black/Tim Richey's #2 Akronism, coming off HUGE fig at Philly Park 6 weeks ago. #9 Sheets ran big at Calder in last, repeat of that makes her very dangerous... #1a High Again, shortens up, should run well.
Race 10: tough to go against #9 Sweet Brush, Pletcher and fastest figs coming in... Steve's pick, #5 Let's Get Going is very interesting, kind of going in wrong direction, but new trainer may help and has a fast one to run back to... #8 Skipp Datt is very solid.. Both Trombetta horses coming off good races at Delaware..
I know I've agreed with Steve's picks on most races, but that sure isn't a bad thing.
Good luck to all today!
Last edited by golfer : 08-04-2007 at 07:34 AM.
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