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Originally Posted by ateamstupid
I'm the one that needs an intelligent defense?
Your "point" is that because Commentator would be "no worse than second choice" in the BC Sprint, that somehow makes him more likely to win to win the race than if he were third or fourth choice, and I have no intelligent defense?
Guess the horses learned how to read odds, because you seem to think how the races are bet affect how the horses run.
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So as not to appear to be talking down to you I will be as succinct as possible...
That response was your stupidest and least thought out yet. The only thing you are demonstrating is that you don't have a clue as to what I am talking about. Sorry, you are also demonstrating a complete lack of understanding of probability.
At the risk of talking down to you, as you don't seem to be leaving me much choice, statistically speaking the second choice has a better chance of winning ( this means he WILL win more often ) than the third or fourth choice.