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Originally Posted by SentToStud
I'm betting against D Stripes based on the jump along with thinking he's got to pass three pretty good G2 winners. I can't see anyone other than Master C. Magna or Wanderin Boy winning. I'm using those three with a bump on Wanderin Boy. I think he's going to sit right off the rabbit and although he probably won't be setting the pace, I think he controls it. He's also likely to be a bit underbet in here with the other percieved speed. I don't think Flashy Bull or Jonesboro get a sniff of the front here. Looks like a real good race and a very nice card and pick-4. good luck.
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I disagree with you regarding Wanderin Boy's chances to sit off of a fast pace and prevail.
In his last twelve races Wanderin Boy has been on the lead at the first two calls in nine of them. He has finished in the money in all nine of those races with five wins. The three times he was not in the lead at the first or second call, he finished sixth twice and seventh once, with BSFs at least five points below his other efforts. In my opinion he is almost the classic definition of a "need-the-lead" horse. If the track is dry I think he gets cooked here by the rabbit (and all the other speed in the race) and I wouldn't be at all shocked to see him finish off the board.