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Originally Posted by miraja2
You don't think Obrigado has a chance?
His last race at 10f over this course was pretty strong and he put together a lot of nice races in a row over here before going to Dubai. What made you toss him?
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Pending a perusal of the TG sheets, I think he is a notch below. He'll have to run the race of his life and first off a layoff has not been his game in the past. He is the obvious third choice for me though.
What makes me leary of Lava Man (i.e. crap race in Dubai and all the travel) makes me leary of Obrigado. Why ship all the way around the world to trail the field all the way around and beat one horse?
Obviously if Lava Man is on his game, he wins. I just think After Market being a lightly raced 4yr old (this is his 10th lifetime race) has more upside than Obrigado, seems to be figuring out what it is all about and may run a lifetime best again.