Even if Curlin does 'bounce', he could still win if he doesn't regress too much. While I don't think he's going to win (like someone else said, I don't care for the Smart Strike), I can't see him finishing out of the money.
I also don't believe that Smarty Jones 'bounced' in the Belmont. He got caught up in a speed duel and got outfinished by a horse bred to go a mile and a half. JMO.
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