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Originally Posted by Antitrust32
I am just wondering why everyone seems to think hard spun will have no problem with 12 f and is bred for it.
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The distance is fine with him from a pedigree standpoint---his father has sired a Belmont Stakes winner--and his mother won a minor stake at the distance of 12 furlongs (albeit on turf)
However, off of recent form, which trumps pedigree, he never really shows a race that indicates the 2.5 furlong stretchout from 9.5 furlongs to 12 furlongs will be to his benefit...if anything, it would figure to play against him, unless he is able to relax on an uncontested lead...in which case he would be VERY dangerous.
Dosage numbers are cooky....and they give me a headache. Unlike a very helpful tool like speed figures--the logic behind them isn't that sound at all...and IMO, they are fairly useless.