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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I obviously like his chances of winning the Belmont a lot more than I like his chances of winning the BC Classic.
With the addition of a Breeders Cup Dirt Mile---which will be run as a two-turn, one mile and seventy yard race---it seems likely that a lot of horses considered "pace factors" only, who entered the Classic in years past---may opt for the "Dirt Mile" instead.
A slow pace is something that is not to Street Sense's advantage.
People want to credit Street Sense's explosive turn-of-foot and his excellent manuverability...as the sole reasons he's got all these great trips....however, like all deep closers, he has no control on how fast the pace will be in front of him. The BC Classic is too far in advance to say for sure---but, logic would seem to suggest it might be a moderately paced race this year, and at Monmouth Park....deep closers in slow paced races often perform well below their best form.
I guess if Nafzger skips the Belmont--and is really focusing on the Breeders Cup Classic...he might try something like running him back in the Haskell (and getting a race over the track where the BC will be run)
From the Haskell, he could either go Travers-Jockey Club Gold Cup, or Travers and train up to the BC Classic.
Nafzger has a lot of viable options---and he seems like a guy who will do best by the horse. I think that much we can count on.
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you brought up a good point. The haskell is always a nice event but this year it will be even better with the fact of the BC location. The only draw back could be the quality of the field and some of the big players opting for softer prep comming into the BC.