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Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Yes it is strange to think that with Curlin not in the Ark Derby, that FCC would have beaten the 4 other horses that finished in front of him that day.
chances of him being in the tri? 25:1 if you ask me.
I think he has no shot to win, I think he is a sprinter and will not get this distance.
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Sort of like I think that Winning Colors would have won the Preakness if Forty Niner wasn't in there. Sometimes, the presence of one horse can alter your strategy enough to where u totally compromise your chances to win the race. Perhaps a better example would be that Forty Niner could have maybe won the race if Winning Colors wasn't in there.
When I watched the Arkansas Derby, I got a sense that the rider of FFC was riding as if Curlin was the horse to beat. Curlin made his move and so FFC had to move in order to keep within striking distance. I felt the move was a little early for him and as a result, he flattened out in the lane and was passed by some horses and finished fourth. Maybe if Curlin was not in the race, the rider of FFC could have waited a bit longer before making his move and the result could have been different. I'm not saying that's the way it would have gone but that's the feeling I had watching the race.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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