OK, now I am more confused than ever, which, in my opinion, is quite an accomplishment. Jerry Brown has a study on TG website listing all 3 year olds since 2000 who have run negative numbers, and what happened in the subsequent race, also broken down to when that race was 30 days or less later. 48 horses have run negative at age three, NONE of them went forward in their next race, only 9 paired up, the rest regressed. 31 horses ran back in less than 30 days after their negative number, NONE went forward, only 5 paired up, the rest regressed. That's 16% pairing, and 84% regressing.
So I will ask again (and I'm not trying to be argumentative), why is it that you believe that running back quickly negates the bounce? If this is the case, I've been looking at this incorrectly for the last two years, and better to fix this now, then 2 years from now (when I'm living in Steve's basement, because he feels "sorry" for me).
By the way, I encourage everyone to check out the study, the full sheets for all these horses are available for perusing, very interesting.
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