I thought Street Sense ran a great race last fall over the Poly at Keeneland. The pace was fast; he made a huge, very wide sustained run into the pace; while Great Hunter and Circular Quay had the ideal pace set ups. Factoring the ground loss and being much closer to the fast pace, IMO there's no doubt he was the superior horse that day, which he verified in winning the Breeders Cup in his next start.
But now, he has found himself with 3 ideal trips in his last 4 races. Fast paces to close into, and ground saving rides. Horses coming off good trips invariably end up overbet in their next start. Not that he can't win, but at 6-5 (or maybe even 4-5), the risk/reward isn't worth it.
BTW, if you're Larry Jones, don't you look to run a NW1X or NW2X type 3YO in there, with the sole purpose of staying on the rail in front of Street Sense, forcing him to go at least 2, and preferably 3-4 wide on the far turn?
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