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Originally Posted by miraja2
I like Asmussen's Forty Grams here. He has run three races on the dirt at 6f or beyond with a Beyer number of 90+.
Only one other horse in the race has run a figure of 90+ under those conditions, and it was Asmussen's other colt, Reporting for Duty, who I think will probably be overbet. (Slew's Tizzy's top # came on the poly, which I basically consider a completely different surface and treat it the same way I would a figure posted in a turf race).
Forty Gram's last three dirt routes have all been in the low 90s which should be good enough to win here.
With a favorable post position and a pace scenario that should suit his style, I think he is a good play in this race.
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Ditto... kind of like Takedown as well.